Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 8.228233 9.439298 10.785904 12.397537 14.278265 16.408811 19.012517
2025-02-16 6.420342 7.923859 9.735070 12.089376 15.085806 18.794610 23.767668
2025-02-23 5.410601 7.037736 9.114762 11.983133 15.876914 21.028852 28.445089
2025-03-02 4.699896 6.376183 8.618189 11.870899 16.526872 23.038593 32.989397
2025-03-09 4.137116 5.815952 8.152089 11.687495 16.985199 24.761235 37.286059
2025-03-16 3.663328 5.311616 7.685876 11.414795 17.233662 26.151102 41.211773
2025-03-23 3.471706 5.187097 7.742566 11.904805 18.665154 29.479637 48.634525
2025-03-30 3.227045 4.951382 7.598132 12.051635 19.550502 32.022256 55.095177
2025-04-06 2.970100 4.667342 7.343704 11.981965 20.053083 33.964920 60.760213
2025-04-13 2.734103 4.391995 7.072161 11.845980 20.411784 35.679730 66.228615
2025-04-20 2.620273 4.304475 7.097247 12.213500 21.689132 39.177180 75.590270
2025-04-27 2.499760 4.193136 7.068612 12.477397 22.798969 42.488879 85.079748
2025-05-04 2.420396 4.148185 7.154889 12.967613 24.411363 47.012463 97.909381
2025-05-11 2.225020 3.881176 6.821925 12.637358 24.386866 48.273857 103.919501
2025-05-18 2.080544 3.693301 6.615064 12.525300 24.781098 50.436785 112.294754
2025-05-25 1.949448 3.518752 6.416750 12.407427 25.144792 52.572942 120.954910
2025-06-01 1.821441 3.339409 6.193410 12.214882 25.324329 54.322196 128.968077
2025-06-08 1.694185 3.151432 5.937434 11.928622 25.264740 55.519570 135.797043
2025-06-15 1.666488 3.154305 6.056511 12.443021 27.046818 61.214617 155.306810
2025-06-22 1.601947 3.078868 6.011302 12.597179 28.021234 65.115160 170.734587
2025-06-29 1.519649 2.961277 5.869844 12.524030 28.451186 67.731999 183.070155
2025-07-06 1.437127 2.837136 5.704769 12.381262 28.696217 69.912930 194.561392
2025-07-13 1.407712 2.821090 5.767165 12.767134 30.290137 75.821985 218.388124